Fed
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy
Topic
76.5%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 4
Pending: 21
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The speaker predicts that the Federal Reserve will continue to increase the money supply.
"I have no doubt the Fed will just continue printing more money."
Jan 5, 2026
Correct
The Federal Reserve will resume printing money in 2026, having ended quantitative tightening in late 2025.
"The Federal Reserve Bank started printing more money again. They ended quantitative tightening in th..."
Jan 3, 2026
Pending
The Federal Reserve has shifted from a tightening monetary cycle to an easing cycle, which is expected to support higher asset prices.
"We are no longer in a tightening cycle. We're in an easing cycle which supports higher asset prices."
Dec 23, 2025
Correct
Predicted there is a 75% probability that the Federal Reserve will pause interest rate changes within the next six weeks.
"75% probability that the Federal Reserve is going to pause."
Dec 15, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will most likely not cut rates if the labor market continues to stay the same and inflation begins to rise.
"if the labor market continues to stay the same and inflation begins to rise, that is not something t..."
Dec 15, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will purchase $40 billion of US Treasuries over the next 30 days (from 2025-12-10).
"they also revealed that they're going to be purchasing $40 billion over the next 30 days of US treas..."
Dec 10, 2025
Correct
Predicted that the Federal Reserve plans to slightly reduce interest rates in 2026.
"it looks as though they only plan to reduce interest rates slightly in 2026 because they think unemp..."
Dec 10, 2025
Pending
Predicted the Federal Reserve will begin unofficial Quantitative Easing (QE) in January, buying back $45 billion of debt each month.
"The Federal Reserve is expected to begin buying back an all-time high of $45 billion of debt each mo..."
Dec 9, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to continue cutting interest rates and implement quantitative easing (money printing).
"They're going to keep on cutting interest rates and they're they're going to enter into a new phase ..."
Dec 1, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is lowering interest rates and ending quantitative tightening to stimulate AI investment and encourage lending.
"Today the Federal Reserve Bank is not raising interest rates. They're actually lowering interest rat..."
Nov 19, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve pivoted from rate hikes to rate cuts between 2023 and 2025.
"Between 2023 and 2025, the Fed pivoted on its rate hiking cycle and began lowering rates."
Nov 1, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve will cease reducing asset purchases on December 1, 2025, implying a potential shift towards quantitative easing.
"On December 1st, 2025, the Fed is going to end the reduction of asset purchases."
Oct 30, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve intends to stop quantitative tightening on December 1, 2025, with the implication of resuming quantitative easing.
"come December 1, 2025, they plan on stopping this program. they want to start quantitative easing ag..."
Oct 30, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve is considering another interest rate cut in December 2025.
"The Federal Reserve Bank said that they are considering cutting interest rates again in December 202..."
Oct 30, 2025
Correct
There is discussion about Jerome Powell potentially being replaced in 2026 by someone who favors more aggressive interest rate cuts.
"there's a lot of talks about Jerome Powell being replaced in 2026 with somebody who will be more agg..."
Oct 30, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve will halt its quantitative tightening program on December 1, 2025.
"the Federal Reserve Bank says that they're going to stop their quantitative tightening on December 1..."
Oct 30, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve plans to resume money printing to avoid credit tightening.
"the Federal Reserve Bank is going to start printing money again to prevent tightness in credit."
Oct 30, 2025
Correct
Due to a 'data drought,' the Federal Reserve might proceed with added caution in its policy decisions due to uncertainty.
"So, Paul said that they're going to collect every scrap of data to make their decision, but the repo..."
Oct 29, 2025
Correct
Starting in December, the Federal Reserve will enter a new phase of normalization by holding its balance sheet steady for a period, while reserve balances decrease and other liabilities like currency increase.
"As a share of nominal GDP, our balance sheet has fallen from 35% to about 21%. In December, we'll en..."
Oct 29, 2025
Correct
Money printing by the Federal Reserve is expected to resume in 2026, causing a significant resurgence of inflation.
"And then they turn the money printers back on in 2026. And then inflation is going to come roaring b..."
Oct 29, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to print trillions of dollars in 2026, leading to increased inflation.
"My estimation is that it's going to be trillions of dollars in not so far future, probably 2026. So ..."
Oct 29, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to end its monetary tightening cycle imminently and begin quantitative easing in 2026.
"The Federal Reserve will be ending their monetary tightening cycle very soon. Word on the street is ..."
Oct 27, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to resume money printing (quantitative easing) in 2026, leading to increased inflation.
"the Federal Reserve will be turning the money printers back on. So, get ready for more inflation. So..."
Oct 16, 2025
Pending
Quantitative easing, or money printing, is predicted to occur in 2026.
"And then comes the quantitative easing or the money printing in 2026."
Oct 16, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve may end quantitative tightening (reducing its balance sheet) in the coming months.
"quantitative tightening could end soon. ... We may approach that point in coming months and we are c..."
Oct 16, 2025
Correct
The sequence of Federal Reserve actions will be: interest rate cuts, then cessation of tightening, followed by quantitative easing (money printing) in 2026.
"first comes the interest rate cuts and then they're going to stop the tightening which is right arou..."
Oct 16, 2025
Pending
Predicted that if the market is 'shaken' in Fall/Winter 2025, the Federal Reserve will become significantly more dovish and aggressively cut interest rates.
"If they shake this market over the fall and winter time, get ready for the next Fed meeting and the ..."
Sep 18, 2025
Correct
Predicted that if certain dovish individuals are appointed to the Fed, the Federal Reserve will become significantly more dovish.
"suddenly we'll have a Federal Reserve that is even way more dovish than what we just witnessed on th..."
Sep 18, 2025
Correct
The speaker predicts the Federal Reserve will engage in quantitative easing in 2026, a prediction they made in 2024.
"So, I'm guessing 2026, which is actually what I predicted in 2024."
Aug 25, 2025
Pending
Expectations for the conclusion of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet runoff (Quantitative Tightening) by mid-2025.
"survey respondents on average saw the process of runoff concluding by mid 2025"
Feb 24, 2025
Pending
Prediction of two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve within the current year.
"he thinks we could potentially see two uh rate Cuts this year from the FED"
Feb 24, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will likely end Quantitative Tightening only after a significant drop in the market.
"until you get a large enough drop in the market for the FED to want to end quantitative tightening t..."
Feb 3, 2025
Pending
Predicted the Federal Reserve will be very hesitant to cut interest rates too much too soon.
"my guess is that they are going to be very hesitant to cut too much too soon"
Aug 14, 2024
Pending
Following the 2020 pandemic, the Federal Reserve 'fixed' the economy by printing money (quantitative easing) and injecting it into markets and the government.
"if the federal Reser Bank comes in and quote unquote fixes it by cut interest rates by printing more..."
Aug 5, 2024
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will pivot its monetary policy within a few months (by late 2024).
"just a few more months you're likely going to see this pop up here and then the FED pivots"
May 12, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve's benchmark interest rate has likely reached its highest point.
"the policy rate is likely at its peak"
Feb 8, 2024
Pending
Stimulative monetary policies used in 2020-2021, when inflation was not a primary concern, now pose a greater inflationary risk if similar measures are needed for an economic slowdown due to existing inflation.
"if we were to see more of an economic slowdown while inflation is still a problem that poses a bigge..."
Oct 30, 2023
Pending
The Federal Reserve is strongly committed to its current monetary policy and will continue until its objectives are met.
"I could assure you that my colleagues and I are strongly committed to this project and we will keep ..."
Sep 21, 2022
Pending